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I am preparing for a probability exam and while practicing stuck on this question. Do not even know how to begin.

Let $X_1$, $X_2$, $X_3$ be independent uniform $(0,1)$ random variables. What is the probability that we can form a triangle with three sticks of length $X_1$, $X_2$, $X_3$?

I am thinking of using $X_1 + X_2 > X_3$ for this to happen and there are three such combinations. But how to proceed next ?

user669083
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    If $X_1+X_2 < X_3$, how do you form a triangle? Don't the lengths of any two sides need to sum to more than the length of the third side? Hint: compute the conditional probability of being able to form a triangle given the length of the third side. Then compute the unconditional probability by applying the law of total probability. – Dilip Sarwate Dec 08 '12 at 18:08
  • Related: https://math.stackexchange.com/q/146450/321264. – StubbornAtom Jan 28 '20 at 12:01

4 Answers4

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The desired probability corresponds to the volume of the subset of the unit cube $[0,1]^3$ that is bounded by the three planes $x+y=z$, $x+z=y$, $y+z=x$. Each of these planes chops off a tetrahedron (e.g. the one with vertices $(0,0,0)$, $(1,0,1)$, $(0,1,1)$ and $(0,0,1)$ for the plane $x+y=z$) of volume $\frac 16$. These tetrahedra are disjoint (only the biggest number can be bigger than the sum of the other two numbers), hence the volume remaining is $$1-3\cdot \frac16=\frac12.$$

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I am too dumb to imagine cutting a tetrahedron in the 3D space, so here is a slight variation of Hagen von Eitzen's answer. Let the three sides be $x,y,z$. Suppose $z$ is fixed and it is the longest side. Then the probability that $x,y,z$ form side lengths of a triangle is the area bounded by $\left\{(x,y): 0\le x\le z,\ 0\le y\le z,\ x+y\ge z\right\}$, which is $z^2/2$. Integrate from $z=0$ to $z=1$, we get $1/6$. Multiply by $3$ (previously we have fixed one of the three sides as the longest one), we obtain the answer as $1/2$.

user1551
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Here is a slightly related answer. The key is to get the inequalities right to map it to the problem at hand. Note: The problem discussed in the blog does apply directly to your problem, but is almost there

broccoli
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Let $x,y,z$ be the three numbers. The probability that $z > x + y$ is given by

$$ \int_0^1 dz \int_0^z dy \int_0^{z-y} dx = 1/6. $$

Any of the three variables could be the largest, so multiply by $3$ and we obtain $1/2$.

Here's a simpler geometric argument. Suppose the largest of the three is $a$. Then the other two must lie in the square with area $a^2$. In that square, the northwest-to-southeast diagonal gives the line where the other two sum to $a$. Below that line, the other two sum to less than $a$. Clearly that line cuts the square in half. Hence, for any $a$, the probability is $1/2$.

xdavidliu
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