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There are conjectures that have very high counterexamples, but a plethora of them. What are some not-overly-specific conjectures about a natural number $n$ that have only one high counterexample. (I want only two different things to happen, either it is, or it isn't. I don't want anything like Every number has at most 10 "somethings" because examples can be characterized by the conjecture itself.) The best one I know of is the "conjecture" that the symmetric group on n objects doesn't have any outer automorphism, which fails for only $n = 6$.

Edit: Here's one for $n = 3107$: The $n^{th}$ square number isn't a stella octangula number unless $n = 1$.

mathlander
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