I need to find a good, computable upper bound for the expression $$\sum_{k=0}^m x^k \binom{n+k}{k}$$ as a function of $x$, $n$ and $m$, and where $0<x< 1/2$ is real, and $0<n\leq m$ are integers. I would love to hear some ideas.
Remark A. I know that $\sum_{k=0}^\infty x^k \binom{n+k}{k}=(1-x)^{-n-1}$. So my question is how to bound the first $m$ terms of this infinite sum.
Remark B. What I'm actually trying to do is bound the sum $\sum_{k=1}^m x^k C_{m-n+1}(n,k)$, where $C_{d}(n,k)$ is a Catalan trapezoid number of order $d$. I am then using the bound $C_d(n,k)\leq \binom{n+k}{k}$, which is tight for low values of $k$ but loose for high values. If someone knows other bounds for Catalan trapezoid numbers, that could be useful here, let me know. For instance, it could be useful to have results about generating functions related to Catalan trapezoid numbers.