Let $A$ be a non-empty measurable subset of euclidean $\mathbb R^n$ and $x_0 \in \mathbb R^n\setminus A$. Define $d(x_0,A) := \inf_{a \in A} d(x_0,a)$, the distance of $x_0$ from $A$. Finally, let $\sigma > 0$.
Question 1. Are there any interesting relationships (functional equalities, inequalities, etc.) between $d(x_0,A)$ and $p(x_0,A) := \mathbb P_{x \sim \mathcal N(x_0,\sigma^2I)}(x \in A)$ ?
Notes
- I'm fine with partial answers to Question 1 which make "reasonable" assumptions on $A$ (convex, closed, smoothness, curvature, etc.)
- Ultimately, I'm interested in estimating $p(x_0,A)$. The sought-for connection with $d(x_0,A)$ is just a rough guess (inspired by the case of half-spaces worked-out below). It may turn out that other quantities are petinent for the estimation are in fact, not $d(x_0,A)$ in general.
Motivating example: half-spaces
Say $b \in \mathbb R$, $u \in \mathbb R^n$ with $\|u\| = 1$, and $A:=\{x \in \mathbb R^n \mid x^Tu \le b\}$, a half-space, and let $x_0 \in \mathbb R^n\setminus A$. Note that $d(x_0,A)=x_0^Tu-b$. Let $\Phi$ be the CDF of the standard 1D Gaussian distribution. Then one easily computes $$ \begin{split} p(x_0,A) &= \mathbb P_{x \sim \mathcal N(x_0,\sigma^2I)}(x \in A) = \mathbb P_{x \sim \mathcal N(x_0,\sigma^2I)}(x^Tu \le b)\\ &= \mathbb P_{z \sim \mathcal N(0,I)}(z^Tu \le (b-x_0^Tu)/\sigma)=\Phi(-d(x_0,A)/\sigma), \end{split} \tag{*} $$ or equivalently, $d(x_0,A) = -\sigma\Phi^{-1}(p(x_0,A))=\sigma\Phi^{-1}(1-p(x_0,A))$.
Edit: rough upper-bound on $p(x_0,A)$ via closed convex hulls
Suppose $A$ is closed convex nonempty subset of $\mathbb R^n$. Let $H_0$ be the half-space containing $A$, bordered by the hyper-plane with outward normal pointing in the direction of $x_0-a_0$, where $a_0$ is the (unique!) point of $A$ such that $d(x_0,A) = d(x_0,a_0)$. In other words,
$$ H_0 := \{x \in \mathbb R^n \mid (x-a_0)^Tu_0 \le 0\} = \{x \in \mathbb R^n \mid x^Tu_0 \le b_0\}, $$ where $u_0 := (x_0-a_0)/d(x_0,A)$, a unit vector in $\mathbb R^n$ and $b_0 := a_0^Tu_0 \in \mathbb R$. Note that $d(x_0,A) = d(x_0,H_0) = x_0^Tu_0-b_0$. Now, if $x \sim \mathcal N(x_0,\sigma^2 I)$, we have
$$ \mathbb P(x \in A) \le \mathbb P(x \in H_0) \overset{*}{=} \Phi(-d(x_0,A)/\sigma), $$
i.e $p(x_0,A) \le \Phi(-d(x_0,A)/\sigma)$, or equivalent, $d(x_0,A) \ge \sigma\Phi^{-1}(1-p(x_0,A))$.
The following theorem follows.
Lemma. Let $A$ be a nonempty measurable subset of $\mathbb R^n$, and let $\overline{co}(A)$ denote is the closure of it's convex hall. Let $x_0 \in \mathbb R^n\setminus \overline{co}(A)$. Then $$ d(x_0,A) \ge d(x_0,\overline{co}(A)) \ge \sigma\Phi^{-1}(1-p(x_0,\overline{co}(A))). $$