The simplest approach that comes to mind is to increase the radius of one of the circles by the wire thickness and then compute their common inside tangents. If you want to keep things symmetric, you could instead grow both circles by half the wire width. If you do the latter, then you’re effectively working with the wire’s centerline.
Questions about computing common tangents to two circles are pretty common here, so if you don’t know how to do that, a simple search will turn up many methods. This question came up near the top of my search just now. If you use the symmetric approach I mentioned above, since the two circles have the same radius, their inside tangents pass through the midpoint of the centers, so you can reduce the problem to that of finding tangents to a single circle through that point.
P.S. Using the symmetric construction, the angle can be computed directly. Setting $D$ to be the distance between circle centers and measuring angles clockwise, we have for the angle $\alpha$ of the line joining the two centers $$\cos\alpha = \frac{c-a}D \\ \sin\alpha = \frac{b-d}D.$$ If we’re wrapping clockwise around the top nail, we want to increase this by the angle $\beta$ between this line and the centerline of the wire, which, as noted above passes through the midpoint of the circle centers and is tangent to the circles with radius increased by $f/2$. We therefore have $$\sin\beta = {e+f/2\over D/2} = \frac{2e+f}D \\ \cos\beta = \sqrt{1-\sin^2\beta}.$$ Finding $\alpha+\beta$ then becomes a matter of applying any of the trigonometric sum-of-angles formulas and computing the inverse trig function. I don’t have a good feel for whether this is going to be more or less work than computing the tangent line.