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Possible Duplicate:
The Monty Hall problem

Three envelopes are presented in front of you by an interviewer. One contains a job offer, the other two contain rejection letters. You pick one of the envelopes. The interviewer then shows you the contents of one of the other envelopes, which is a rejection letter. The interviewer now gives you the opportunity to switch envelope choices. Should you switch?

fosho
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1 Answers1

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yea u should

P of correct envelope the first time you picked is 1/3

That 1/3 has not changed so by switching you essentially make a switch with a P of 1/2.

Or something along those lines.