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I am not sure how to prove rigorously (using calculus) that $x^2=2^x$ has exactly $3$ real solutions.

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Let $f(x)=2^x-x^2$. Then, $f'''(x)$ is always positive, so $f$ has at most three roots by Rolle's theorem. To prove that there are at least three roots, note that $f(-1)=-0.5$, $f(0)=1$, $f(3)=-1$, $f(5)=7$.

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