Lindgren et al 2011 connects Gaussian Markov Random Fields (which have fast calculation properties due to the Markov attribute) and Gaussian Processes (which can model many types of data). The connection rests upon the fact (from Whittle 1954) that solutions to a certain stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) defined below have a Matérn covariance (common in Gaussian Processes).
They then show that some models with defined Markov properties (like on a lattice, but they extend it to off-lattice data) are solutions to that SPDE and so all the fast calculations (such as the precision matrix) that can be done on Markov models lead to desired covariance properties. So we can do some GP calculations very quickly with this technique.
My questions are about the SPDE itself: $$ (\kappa^2 - \Delta)^{\alpha/2}x(\mathbf{u}) = \mathcal{W}(\mathbf{u}) $$
where $\Delta = \sum \frac{\delta^2}{\delta x_i^2}$ is the Laplacian, $\mathcal{W}$ is a white-noise process, $\alpha/2$ is an integer, and $\kappa$ is a constant that represents the inverse "range" of the covariance (something like a persistence length). What does this very weird equation represent? I hate to pull an "I don't get it" so here are some specific questions:
- On the LHS we have the Laplacian operator, which is the divergence of the gradient. What does a PDE with this operator imply about the solution? E.g. "$dx/dt = a$ means that x changes with speed $a$."
- On the RHS we have a stochastic white noise process $\mathcal{W}$. How is this different from putting something deterministic here? In the paper they call this "driving the SPDE with white noise" but I don't know what driving means in this context.
They mention in the paper the relationship of this equation to diffusion. It would be helpful to flesh out that connection.
They further extend this model to non-stationary fields with a slightly modified SPDE:
$$ (\kappa^2(\mathbf{u}) - \Delta)^{\alpha/2}\left\{\tau(\mathbf{u})x(\mathbf{u})\right\} = \mathcal{W}(\mathbf{u}) $$
Where functions $\kappa^2(\mathbf{u})$ and $\tau(\mathbf{u})$ vary throughout space. They show this ALSO has "local" Matérn covariance but globally could be a dense covariance with interesting global correlations. How does this relate to the intuitive picture from the simpler equation?