It is not that hard to write down an integral representation for the expected value of average nearest neighbor distance. However, computing that integral is a nightmare. Fortunately, extracting the leading large $n$ behavior is easy.
For simplicity, we will only consider the case where side length $x$ is $1$.
Let
- $\Delta = [0,1]^2$ be the unit square.
- $\bar{B}(v,r)$ be the closed disc centered at $v$ with radius $r$ and $A(v,r) = \verb/Area/(\bar{B}(v,r) \cap \Delta)$.
- $v_1, \ldots, v_n$ be $n$ iid points sampled uniformly from $\Delta$.
- $r_i = \min_{j\ne i}|v_i - v_j|$ be the distance between $v_i$ and its nearest neighbor.
- $\lambda$ be the expected value of average nearest neighbor distances among $v_1, \ldots v_n$.
Since $v_1, \ldots, v_n$ are iid, we have
$\displaystyle\;\lambda = \Lambda_1 \stackrel{def}{=}
\mathbf{E}\left[ \frac1n \sum_i r_i\right]
= \mathbf{E}\left[ r_1 \right]
$.
For any $r \in \mathbb{R}$, the condition $r_1 > r$ is equivalent to $v_j \notin \bar{B}(v_1,r)$ for all $j \ne 1$.
When we fix the location of $v_1$, the CDF of its distance to its nearest
neighbour equals to
$$\begin{align}
{\rm CDF}(v_1, r) & \stackrel{def}{=}
\mathbf{P}\left[ r_1 \le r : v_1\right]
= 1- \mathbf{P}\left[ r_1 > r : v_1\right]\\
&= 1 - \mathbf{P}\left[ v_2,\ldots, v_n \notin \bar{B}(v_1, r) : v_1 \right]
= 1 - \mathbf{P}\left[ v_2 \notin \bar{B}(v_1, r) : v_1 \right]^{n-1}\\
&= 1 - (1 - A(v_1,r))^{n-1}
\end{align}
$$
We obtain following integral representation of $\lambda$:
$$\lambda = \mathbf{E}_{v_1}\left[ \mathbf{E}\left[ r_1 : v_1 \right] \right] =
\mathbf{E}_{v_1}\left[\int_0^\infty r d{\rm CDF}(v_1,r) \right]
= \int_{\Delta}\int_0^\infty (1-A(v,r))^{n-1} dr dv
$$
The real problem is $A(v,r)$ is very complicated.
Evaluate the integral exactly even for small $n$ is a nightmare.
For the leading large $n$ behavior of $\lambda$, we have a much better luck.
When $n$ is large, $(1 - A(v,r))^{n-1}$ falls of very quickly as $r$ increases from $0$. For those $r$ where $(1 - A(v,r))^{n-1}$ contributes to the integral, we can replace $(1 - A(v,r))^{n-1}$ by $e^{-(n-1)A(v,r)}$ ${}^{\color{blue}{[1]}}$.
Unless $v_1$ is within a distance of $O(\lambda)$ from the boundary of $\Delta$, $v_1$ will be closer to its nearest neighbor than the boundary for those $r$ where $(1-A(r))^{n-1}$ matters. For such $r$, we can replace $A(v,r)$ by $\pi r^2$. Up to relative correction of $O(\lambda)$ ${}^{\color{blue}{[2],[3]}}$, we have
$$\lambda = \left(\int_0^\infty e ^{-(n-1)\pi r^2} dr \right) \times ( 1 + O(\lambda))
= \frac{1}{2\sqrt{n-1}}(1 + O(\lambda))$$
As a result, for large $n$, we obtain following leading behavior of $\lambda$
$$\lambda = \frac{1}{2\sqrt{n-1}} + O\left(n^{-1}\right)$$
For the general case where the cost associated to $v_i$ is $r_i^m$, the integral representation becomes
$$\Lambda_m \stackrel{def}{=} \mathbf{E}\left[\frac1n\sum_i r_i^m\right]
= \mathbf{E}[r_i^m]
= m \int_\Delta\int_0^\infty r^{m-1}(1-A(v,r))^{n-1} dr dv$$
with leading large $n$-behavior of the form
$$\Lambda_m = \Gamma\left(\frac{m}{2}+1\right)\left(\frac{2\lambda}{\sqrt{\pi}}\right)^m+ O(\lambda^{m+1})$$
Notes
$\color{blue}{[1]}$ - Using Waston's lemma, the relative error due to the replacement
$(1-A(v,r))^{n-1}$ by $e^{-(n-a)A(v,r)}$
is $O(n^{-1}) = O(\lambda^2)$. We can safely ignore this error for
the next to leading large $n$ dependence of $\lambda$.
$\color{blue}{[2]}$ - When $v$ is near one of the side or near a corner, $A(v,r) \ge \frac12 \pi r^2$ and $\ge \frac14 \pi r^2$ for small $r$. This will increase the integral $\int_0^\infty (1-A(v,r))^{n-1} dr$ by a factor at most $\sqrt{2}$ and $2$ respectively. Let $\lambda_0 = \frac{1}{2\sqrt{n-1}}$ be the leading $n$ dependence of $\lambda = \Lambda_1$. The next to leading dependence $\lambda_1$ will be
dominated by those $v$ within an area of order $O(4\lambda_0)$ near the boundary.
$\color{blue}{[3]}$ -
If I didn't make any mistake, the next to leading dependence $\lambda_1$
should equal to
$$4\int_0^\infty \int_0^r \left(e^{-\frac{(\pi - \theta + \sin\theta\cos\theta)r^2}{4\lambda_0^2}} - e^{-\frac{\pi r^2}{4\lambda_0^2}}
\right) d\ell dr$$
where $\ell$ is the distance between the center and the side and $\theta = \cos^{-1}\left(\frac{\ell}{r}\right)$. Changing variable from $(r,\ell)$ to $(r,\theta)$ and integrate over $r$ first, this can be simplified to
$$\lambda_1 = 4\lambda_0^2 \left[\int_0^{\pi/2}\frac{2\sin\theta d\theta}{\pi - \theta + \sin\theta\cos\theta} - \frac{2}{\pi}\right]
\approx 0.821893491\lambda_0^2
$$